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Conflict
China, Taiwan and US–China tension
Analysis
President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping concluded a state visit in Washington, D.C., characterized by high-profile ceremony but few public policy breakthroughs. While the leaders discussed trade and technology, the contentious issue of Taiwan was reportedly addressed only in private, leaving the status of U.S.-China relations regarding the island unchanged. Observers are now watching for future meetings between the two leaders, which both sides confirmed will occur before the end of the year.
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Early reports
Forecast
Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral trade agreement or memorandum of understanding regarding tariffs before March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement signed
61%
Formal agreement or MOU signed
39%
Poll
If China blockaded Taiwan, how should the US respond?
Forecast poll
Will the U.S. and China announce a new bilateral trade agreement by December 31st?
Forecast · closes Dec 24
Readers say yes
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Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.