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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Outbreaks and public health
Understanding pneumonic plague after Russian lab worker's death
The U.S. is closely monitoring a potential case of pneumonic plague in Russia after a laboratory worker who studied the disease fell ill and died. Russian authorities insist there is no cause for alarm, but officials have imposed quarantines and other measures at several medical facilities in Siberia. Geoff Bennett dis
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TThe Guardian · 1h
Pennsylvania faces largest measles outbreak in decades as case count rises to 1,000
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CCNBC · 1h
Trump offers U.S. help to Russia after plague death; WHO assesses the situation as low risk
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PPBS · 1h
Florida's dengue outbreak is largest in continental U.S. in decades
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PPBS · 5d
WATCH: Senate health committee advances Dr. Nicole Saphier's nomination for surgeon general
Analysis
Public health concerns are intensifying as a significant measles outbreak in Pennsylvania surpasses 1,000 cases and a potential pneumonic plague case in Russia prompts international monitoring. These developments, alongside a WHO report linking 12% of global cancer cases to preventable infections, highlight the ongoing challenges in managing both localized outbreaks and long-term disease prevention. Observers are now watching for further updates from Russian authorities regarding the plague investigation and the effectiveness of containment measures in the U.S. measles crisis.
5 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the World Health Organization declare the current Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo over by January 15, 2027?Poll
Should countries share outbreak data with the WHO even when it's politically awkward?
Poll
If a new outbreak spread widely, which measures would you support?
Russia–Ukraine war
Russian gold floods Hong Kong as Western sanctions redraw bullion trade
The surge underscores how Russia's gold trade has been rerouted after its invasion of Ukraine in 2022 shut its producers out of major Western markets.
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PPBS · 5d
News Wrap: Watchdog finds no criminal activity by Powell related to Fed renovation
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CCNBC · 4d
Russia launches massive strikes on Ukraine’s energy grid, forcing power cuts ahead of winter
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CCNBC · 6d
Putin orders army expansion as Zelenskyy warns Russia preparing to deploy 10,000 North Korean troops
Analysis
Russia has intensified its campaign against Ukraine with deadly strikes on civilian infrastructure while simultaneously facing accusations of sabotage across Europe, prompting NATO to bolster its defense posture. These escalations threaten regional stability and global food security, as officials warn of potential supply chain disruptions. Observers are now monitoring the effectiveness of increased European military aid and the potential for further hybrid attacks on NATO member states.
Forecast
Will the UN General Assembly or G20 adopt a resolution or joint declaration formally condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine by 2027-01-15?Poll
Would you support a ceasefire that freezes current front lines?
Poll
Should Western countries keep sending weapons to Ukraine?
Iran and the Middle East conflict
'We had a threat': Trump explains U.S. moving long-range bombers from UK
The U.S. Air Force B-1 bombers removed from England have been used in strikes on Iran.
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PPBS · 1h
Saudi-backed coalition forces Houthis from several areas around key strait, Yemeni officials say
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TThe Guardian · 12h
No 10 insists RAF Fairford is safe after US withdraws its bombers from base
- NNew York Times · 4d How Middle East Oil Exports Started Recovering
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TThe Guardian · 4d
First Thing: Details remain unclear after ‘terror attack’ on Dubai-Israel flight
Analysis
Tensions have escalated as the U.S. rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while the U.S. Air Force redeployed B-1 bombers from a UK base following security concerns linked to alleged Iranian involvement. These developments threaten global shipping routes and regional stability, potentially impacting energy prices and security protocols for international travel. Observers are now watching for the outcome of anticipated negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, as well as the impact of the U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq on regional power dynamics.
2 stories say getting worse, 1 story says mixed
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?Poll
What is the best way to reduce the risk of a wider Middle East war?
Poll
Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?
Healthcare access and costs
WATCH: Trump administration issues final rule on transparency in healthcare coverage
At a news conference, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said the new rule provides a "clear view of what healthcare actually costs."
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CCNBC · 6d
Two Indian nationals charged with smuggling counterfeit Ozempic from China: DOJ
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AAl Jazeera · 4d
Christa Pike execution fails: What next when a lethal injection is botched?
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CCNBC · 4d
AI is operating inside the healthcare billing system. Patients may already be paying the price
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TThe Guardian · 4d
Tennessee governor halts executions after second botched lethal injection attempt this year – US politics live
Analysis
Recent reports highlight rising healthcare barriers, ranging from surging insurance premiums for Starbucks employees in the U.S. to the strain on medical systems in Africa following the withdrawal of U.S. aid programs. These developments underscore how both domestic cost increases and international policy shifts directly impact the affordability and availability of essential care for individuals. Moving forward, observers are monitoring the long-term effects of these funding gaps on patient access and the stability of healthcare infrastructure in affected regions.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the total number of individuals enrolled in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace be lower than 18 million on January 31, 2027?Poll
Should the government negotiate prices for more prescription drugs?
Poll
What is the biggest problem with healthcare where you live?
Trade and tariffs
Little room for ‘giving and taking’: India’s finance minister confirms trade impasse with the U.S.
In the latest sign of growing skepticism around the closure of the trade deal between New Delhi and Washington, an Indian minister said there is little room for ‘giving and taking.’
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TThe Guardian · 12h
Trump heads to Nebraska as supreme court hears first oral arguments of new term – US politics live
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CCNBC · 6d
Beijing warns of retaliation if Europe imposes curbs on Chinese businesses
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CCNBC · 6d
Ford CEO says it's 'too late' for Europe to fend off Chinese automakers, but not for U.S.
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CCNBC · 5d
Trump's latest global tariffs face trade court challenge
Analysis
Recent trade tensions are intensifying as the Trump administration faces political pressure over beef imports and struggles to leverage negotiations with China, while the UK reports its largest food and drink trade deficit since 2000. These developments highlight how shifting tariff policies and international trade imbalances are impacting domestic industries, from Canadian apparel manufacturers to European automotive markets. Observers are now watching for potential rollbacks on specific import plans and further diplomatic developments between the U.S., China, and Canada.
3 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the Trump administration formally implement new tariffs on Chinese hybrid vehicle imports by March 1, 2027?Poll
Would you pay more for goods made in your own country?
Poll
Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?
Outbreaks and public health
Florida's dengue outbreak is largest in continental U.S. in decades
Experts warn that local dengue outbreaks could become more frequent due to persistent mosquito populations and climate conditions.
Coverage · 1 outlet
reporting
What could happen next
Will the World Health Organization declare the current Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo over by January 15, 2027?
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.