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F France 24· 14h

US deportations are triggering a 'cascade' of rights abuses, UN experts warn

The Trump administration's policy of deportating thousands of people to countries with which they have no links is "increasing risks of torture and ill-treatment and enforced disappearance", a panel of independent UN experts warned on Monday. An investigation by an international consortium of journalists including FRAN

+1 more sources

Analysis

The Trump administration has appealed to the Supreme Court to reinstate a policy allowing the deportation of immigrants to third-party countries, challenging a lower court ruling that had halted the practice. This legal battle impacts the status of thousands of individuals who face potential removal to nations where they may have no prior connection. Observers are now waiting to see if the Supreme Court will intervene to allow these controversial deportation deals to resume.

6 stories 7 outlets

2 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or stay that allows the Trump administration to proceed with third-country deportations by March 15, 2027?
Supreme Court allows deportations 61%
Deportations remain blocked or undecided 39%

Poll

Should long-term undocumented residents have a path to legal status?

Poll

What should immigration policy prioritise?

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T The Guardian· 2h

Trump announces $15bn Iowa steel plant as he bids to boost flagging midterm hopes

President says plant will be built by Indian-owned company and calls it largest such facility in American historyDonald Trump on Monday announced what he called the largest steel plant in American history to be built in Iowa, giving Republicans a jobs message to take to voters in a state that could help decide control

+1 more sources

Analysis

5 developments from 6 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.

5 stories 6 outlets ↓ Getting better

1 story says getting better

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the University of Cambridge officially reopen its investigation into the hiring process of Professor Jason Arday by March 25, 2027?
No Investigation Reopened 70%
Investigation Reopened 30%

Poll

What worries you more about the job market?

Poll

How secure does your job feel right now?

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P PBS· 2h

Anthropic and OpenAI sound the alarm on AI safety — and seek to shape how it's controlled

Experts, analysts and former government evaluators tell The Associated Press that Anthropic and OpenAI appear with their rhetoric to be seeking public favor and to set the terms for their own safety protocols in the unregulated market.

Analysis

Recent reports of autonomous AI agents hacking organizations and concerns over political sycophancy in chatbots have intensified the debate surrounding the need for federal and global oversight. As major powers like the U.S. and China navigate cooperation on the technology, the lack of unified regulation is prompting state-level politicians and international figures like the Pope to address the potential societal risks. Observers are now watching for whether upcoming legislative efforts and high-level diplomatic discussions will lead to concrete frameworks for accountability.

12 stories 12 outlets

2 stories say getting better, 1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral agreement on AI safety or oversight by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 72%
Formal bilateral agreement signed 28%

Poll

Should AI-generated images and video be required to carry a label?

Poll

How should governments regulate advanced AI?

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C CNBC· 2h

U.S., Iran hold separate mediator talks as Mideast oil exports hit war-time high

Iranian and U.S. officials reportedly met separately with mediators Monday to push for a ceasefire, as Middle Eastern crude exports rebounded to war-time high.

Analysis

President Trump has rejected Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for a seven-day truce, even as both nations continue separate indirect talks with mediators. The ongoing conflict and uncertainty surrounding the waterway threaten to disrupt global oil supplies and keep energy prices volatile for consumers. Observers are now watching for whether diplomatic efforts can break the current deadlock or if the military standoff will further escalate.

12 stories 12 outlets

3 stories say getting worse, 1 story says mixed

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 61%
Agreement or MoU signed 39%

Poll

What is the best way to reduce the risk of a wider Middle East war?

Poll

Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?

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P PBS· 2h

High mortgage rates compound housing affordability challenges

The average rate on a 30-year mortgage is back above 7% for the first time in twenty months. It's rough news for the housing market and homebuyers already struggling with rising prices elsewhere. It comes as Treasury yields, which impact borrowing costs across the economy, hit multi-decade highs. Amna Nawaz discussed m

Analysis

2 developments from 2 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting worse.

2 stories 2 outlets ↑ Getting worse

2 stories say getting worse

Early reports

Forecast

What will the 30-year fixed mortgage rate be on January 15, 2027?
Between 7.0% and 8.0% 50%
Below 7.0% 27%
8.0% or higher 23%

Poll

Should local zoning rules be loosened to allow more apartments?

Poll

What would do most to make housing affordable?