Discuss Full coverage · 11 →
C CNBC· 1h

Beijing warns of retaliation if Europe imposes curbs on Chinese businesses

China must "respond firmly" if the EU introduces restrictions on Chinese businesses or products, the Commerce Ministry said, according to a CNBC translation.

Analysis

Recent trade tensions are intensifying as the Trump administration faces political pressure over beef imports and struggles to leverage negotiations with China, while the UK reports its largest food and drink trade deficit since 2000. These developments highlight how shifting tariff policies and international trade imbalances are impacting domestic industries, from Canadian apparel manufacturers to European automotive markets. Observers are now watching for potential rollbacks on specific import plans and further diplomatic developments between the U.S., China, and Canada.

11 stories 11 outlets

4 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the Trump administration formally implement new tariffs on Chinese hybrid vehicle imports by March 1, 2027?
New tariffs implemented 56%
No new tariffs implemented 44%

Poll

Would you pay more for goods made in your own country?

Poll

Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?

Discuss Full coverage · 10 →
T The Guardian· 1h

The secret Trump deals sending migrants across the world - Full Story podcast

A Sierra Leonean nurse detained, handcuffed and flown to Ghana. An Iranian dissident sent to Central African Republic. A Cameroonian deported to Equatorial Guinea.This is the face of the Trump administration’s policy since 2025 – striking deals with 35 countries and sending up to 25,000 migrants in the US across the wo

Analysis

The US Supreme Court has temporarily allowed the Trump administration to resume deporting migrants to third countries, a policy UN experts warn is increasing risks of rights abuses and torture. This shift impacts thousands of migrants who may now be sent to nations where they have no existing ties, while US lawmakers simultaneously introduce legislation to limit ICE's detention and arrest powers. Observers are now watching for further legal rulings on the legality of these third-country deportations and the potential political fallout for officials facing pressure over these enforcement operations.

10 stories 11 outlets ↑ Getting worse

4 stories say getting worse, 2 stories say getting better

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or stay that allows the Trump administration to proceed with third-country deportations by March 15, 2027?
Supreme Court allows deportations 85%
Deportations remain blocked or undecided 15%

Last move: Supreme Court grants emergency stay · 7h ago

Poll

Should long-term undocumented residents have a path to legal status?

Poll

What should immigration policy prioritise?

Discuss Full coverage · 18 →
C CNBC· 7h

Gina Raimondo thinks AI ultimately will create jobs. It's the initial mass layoffs wave that worries her

No one knows what AI will mean for jobs long-term, but the layoffs are likely to hit first without proper planning, says former US Commerce Sec. Gina Raimondo.

Analysis

Major AI labs and the Trump administration have recently pivoted toward voluntary safety accords and self-policing agreements, even as industry leaders and experts like Bill Gates continue to debate the necessity of federal regulation. These developments directly impact the public by shaping how AI tools are deployed in the workforce and whether current safety measures are sufficient to prevent risks like autonomous hacking or job displacement. Observers are now watching to see if these voluntary commitments will hold or if rising concerns over AI's societal impact will force a shift toward binding government oversight.

12 stories 12 outlets

2 stories say getting better, 2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral agreement on AI safety or oversight by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 72%
Formal bilateral agreement signed 28%

Poll

Should AI-generated images and video be required to carry a label?

Poll

How should governments regulate advanced AI?

Discuss Full coverage · 4 →
T The Guardian· 1h

US Senate blocks resolution demanding accountability over Israeli violence in West Bank

Nine American citizens have been killed by Israeli settlers or security forces in occupied West Bank since 2022The US Senate on Tuesday evening rejected along mostly party lines a Democratic resolution that would have forced the state department to report to Congress on violence in the occupied West Bank, including the

Analysis

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed the UN General Assembly, where he rejected genocide allegations as a "lie" and faced walkouts from delegates and protests outside the venue. This diplomatic friction highlights deepening international polarization and growing isolation regarding the conflict, which continues to impact regional stability and public sentiment. Observers are now watching for further diplomatic fallout and the ongoing military situation in both Gaza and the West Bank.

4 stories 4 outlets ↑ Getting worse

2 stories say getting worse, 1 story says mixed

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will a formal, multi-phase ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas be implemented by 2027-01-15?
No formal ceasefire 72%
Ceasefire implemented 28%

Poll

Who should govern Gaza after the war?

Poll

What should come first in Gaza?

Discuss Full coverage · 7 →
T The Guardian· 1d

Trump announces $15bn Iowa steel plant as he bids to boost flagging midterm hopes

President says plant will be built by Indian-owned company and calls it largest such facility in American historyDonald Trump on Monday announced what he called the largest steel plant in American history to be built in Iowa, giving Republicans a jobs message to take to voters in a state that could help decide control

+1 more sources

Analysis

7 developments from 8 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.

7 stories 8 outlets ↓ Getting better

2 stories say getting better, 1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the University of Cambridge officially reopen its investigation into the hiring process of Professor Jason Arday by March 25, 2027?
No Investigation Reopened 70%
Investigation Reopened 30%

Poll

What worries you more about the job market?

Poll

How secure does your job feel right now?